The blog is
a wonderful memory-refresher. It only takes to click “Polish presidential election in 2010” to bring back the sense of excitement with which I followed
the run-up to the previous election, its course and ramifications. Five years
ago I began blogging about the election several months in advance, a few weeks
before Smolensk tragedy brought the election forward. Death of late president
Lech Kaczynski and SLD-backed candidate, Jerzy Szmajdzinski, as well as sudden
taking over as president-in-office by Mr Komorowski have left their mark on the
campaign.
Five years
ago politics at least brought about emotions. This year’s campaign is so
lacklustre and bland that it can only exacerbate indifference of voters. The
array of candidates and the way they run for presidency is a slap on the face
to an educated voter. Prevalent weariness of politics among citizens should not
come as a surprise then. Nevertheless, since minority of Poles entitled to vote
will visit polling stations next Sunday (sadly, I fear turnout will not exceed
50%, nor even 40%), it is the last occasion to review the candidates…
1.
Incumbent president, Bronislaw Komorowski. The style of his campaign closely
resembles the style of his presidency. I recall in 2010 my opinion of Mr
Komorowski was much better than today. As a head of state, he is just
up-to-the-mark, predictable, yet mediocre, sagacious, yet committing one
slip-up after another. Over the course of the campaign on top comatose and
haughty. He holds his head up high and looks down on other candidates.
Unreasonable statements, referring to other candidates’ competencies or calling
the nation to settle the result in the first round, seemed out of place. Mr
Komorowski is one of the most trusted politicians in Poland, yet on account of
daft utterances, he has wasted much of the potential to win in the first round
he had.
2. Andrzej Duda. Since Jarosław Kaczyński decided not to race for presidency, having in
mind either ambitions to become a prime minister after parliamentary elections,
or just fearing one more defeat by Mr Komorowski, Mr Duda was anointed as PiS’s
candidate. Mr Duda builds his identity on heritage of late president Lech
Kaczynski (he was a senior official in late president’s office). His image
lacks the element of independent thinking, yet it will not be an obstacle for
him in being the runner-up in the first round. Out of all candidates he has the
biggest positive electorate of stalwart followers of PiS and the biggest
negative electorate of other parties’ voters, who will never, ever put a cross
against anyone affiliated with PiS. Oddly enough, Mr Duda does not strive to
win over centrist voters. His hard-line stance on in-vitro, involvement in
shielding credit unions from proper financial supervision and populist
anti-Euro fear-mongering will rather put off moderate voters.
And now who
stands a chance to get the third rank?
3. Janusz Korwin-Mikke. After
swingeing victory in European Parliament last year, popularity of Mr JKM has
only been on the rise. He ran for presidency in each single election after
1989, yet this is the first time he is quite likely to get support from voters
higher than magnitude of statistical error. His advocates are mainly young
males, yet many on account of not reaching the age of majority will not have
the opportunity to vote…
4. Paweł Kukiz, a former rock-star, currently attempting to topple Polish politics. He
declares he has no ambitions to be dubbed a politician and does much not to be
treated as an actual politician. Unlike other candidates, who put on suits, he
dons T-shirts during public appearances. He appeals to all Poles disillusioned
with numbness of Polish political scene and calls on overthrowing the system.
All in all, the essence of his agenda is to depose existing power-wielding
gang, but what in return?
The two
anti-systemic candidates above will conceivably garner some 15% of all votes;
quite a lot if you keep in mind in mature democracies they would be both
categorised as lunatics. Such high support for wacky candidates reflects on how
much Poles are fed up with the never-ending battle between PO and PiS.
5. Adam
Jarubas (the only one who lacks wikipedia entry in English). PSL was another
party whose leader refused to run for presidency. The coalitional partner of PO
decided to delegate the young, yet experienced marshal of Swietokrzyskie
voivodeship for the presidential competition. Mr Jarubas emanates with energy
and out of all party-backed candidates appears as the most
independent-thinking. PSL has given him a lot of discretion in airing his
views. He openly declares he would not sign Convention
on preventing and combating violence against women
and domestic violence, as the only meaningful candidate he is not eager to
interfere in conflict between Russia and Ukraine and stresses Poland’s leading
involvement in it has done us more harm than good, he stressed his scepticism
towards Euro. Quite possibly Mr Jarubas might actually get a two-digit support
and actually wish it on him, as he has potential to stand out in politics.
6. Magdalena Ogórek… Errr… There are several
leftist politicians who have capacity to fulfil the role of president; Ryszard
Kalisz and Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz just to mention two. But all sensible
candidates have rejected proposals to run for presidency, SLD’s leader Leszek
Miller also has not picked up the gauntlet and then out of blue, Mrs Ogórek
emerged as an independent candidate, yet supported by SLD. I have no idea what
the rationale behind that decision was and who masterminded this flop. Mrs
Ogórek has set up her own way of running the campaign and apparently spiralled
out of SLD’s control. Rumours about discord between Mrs Ogórek and her
intendants from SLD have been denied, yet one can feel something is amiss. Mrs
Ogórek, as the only woman running for presidency, is the prettiest candidate,
yet I am not genuinely enchanted by her beauty. I actually can say little of
her beauty, since I have not even seen her without make-up… Plus whenever I see
her speaking, lack of naturalness is so eye-popping that I do not find her
trustworthy.
7. Janusz Palikot. In 2011 he was a rising star of Polish politics.
Nearly four years afterwards his value added seems questionable (unless as
master of disaster). Most of his henchmen have turned their backs on him. His
party was dissolved and Mr Palikot combats to survive in politics and tries to
catch a straw. His core slogan is “I will do them justice”. As a president he
promises to crack down on greedy priests, ill-run credit unions, squares named
after late president Kaczynski and other things which often need to be brought
into order, yet not by president, but through social change. I suppose 2015
will be a year of Palikot’s last gasp in politics.
Despite not having to, I have tried to make the content of this post
possibly unbiased, not indicating my political preferences, nor dislikes.
Frankly speaking, I have not made up my mind who to vote for next week. Back in
March I seriously considered putting a cross against the incumbent president
and sparing the public purse a run-off. Today I am sure Mr Komorowski does not
deserve to celebrate the victory in the first round. He will have to take the
extra effort and vie with Mr Duda. So time for tactical voting will come in the
run-off, while next Sunday most probably I will put crosses against all
candidates. I will be among a few percent of voters disgruntled with what the
political class in Poland stand for, yet not totally indifferent… And such
percentage of null votes will not prove any irregularities!
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