The passing winter, with the war in Ukraine and the energy crisis, was definitely not expected to be cold. For several reasons everyone kept fingers crossed for a warm one and long-term forecasts pointed at above-average temperatures in central and eastern Europe. With hindsight – they have proven right.
After the coldest September since 2013, October 2022 came out as the sixth warmest since records began. Mean temperature in Warsaw reached +11.2C (vs. long-term average of +8.7C), but still was colder than October 1907 when temperature in Warsaw averaged out +12.9C and Octobers in 2000 (+11.6C), 1896, 1967 and 2019 (all +11.3C). October 2022 was also frost-free, just like in 2020, 2018 and 2017. Nevertheless, ground frosts were observed on four days (10th, 12th, 20th, 21st days of the month).
17 November
2022
Usually when the first frost is witnessed so late, it bites sharply. Such was
the case in 2008, 2017 and 2018.
18 November
2022
First day of thermal winter, with day-time high below 0C and dreadfully gusty,
chilly wind.
19 November 2022
The first snow this season. Just a light dusting of it, yet enough to take road
clearance services aback. Roads are icy in the morning. Then ensues some
glorious sunshine.
20 November
2022 – 21 November 2022
Two days with lovely sunshine, really chilly mornings and day-time highs close
to the point of freezing.
22 November
2022 – 23 November 2022
Quite chilly and cloudy, with temperature close to 0C.
24 November 2022
Wake up to see the first proper snow this season. The flurry continues until
afternoon, however does not cause anticipated chaos on the roads.
25 November
2022 – 30 November 2022
Abhorrent gloom takes over. Not a moment of sunshine, temperature not much
above freezing most of the time. Dark and damp…
November
2022 was normal. Average temperature in Warsaw was +4.2C (vs. long-term average
of +3.8C). First half of the month was extraordinarily warm, while the second
one, far colder than usual. Stats:
- month-time high: +15.5C on 8 November 2022,
- month-time low: –7.7C on 21 November 2022,
- the warmest day: 2 November 2022 (daily average of +11.5C):
- the coldest day: 19 November 2022 (daily average of –3.7C)
- number of days with snow cover: 4,
- the highest snow depth: 3 centimetres on 25 November 2022.
1 December 2022
The weather pattern from the last days of November continues.
2 December
2022
Getting even colder, markedly below 0C. In the evening a freezing drizzle at
–4C takes over.
3 December
2022
Morning greets with a supply of fresh snow. Temperature stays negative over the
day, so the snow lingers.
4 December
2022 – 7 December 2022
The dullest countenance of late autumn – temperature barely above 0C, chilly
wind, humid air, intermittent rain or snow showers.
8 December
2022 – 9 December 2022
Two relatively bright days, after 16 days of absolute lack of sunshine. The
weather finally lifts spirits.
10 December
2022
The last day on the verge of late autumn and full-blown winter. Close to 0C,
light snow.
11 December 2022
Winter begins in earnest. It snows quite heavily all day. Conditions for moving
around are quite nasty, yet the scenery is lovely.
12 December 2022
The flurry continues throughout the day, but is not as heavy as yesterday. The
abundant snow showers come ahead of the first double-digit frost in 2022.
13 December 2022
Light winter with some little supply of fresh snow.
14 December 2022
The first utterly sunny day since over 3 weeks brings the first double-digit
solid frost in 2022.
15 December
2022
More of the white powder has fallen overnight, but the end of the winter
episode is in sight.
16 December
2022
Snow showers come during the day this time, causing some chaos during the
pre-Christmas rush on the roads.
17 December
2022 – 18 December 2022
A cold, cloudy weekend, with one snow shower. Winter gets boring.
19 December 2022
Temperature overnight plunges below –10C for the second and last time this year
to give way to a bright day with clear blue skies. Nothing heralds a disaster…
20 December
2022
The rain fell overnight in sub-zero temperatures, which means Poland wakes up
to struggle with ice rinks everywhere. Moving about is perilous. Conditions get
better during the day, as surfaces are cleared of black ice and the temperature
rises.
21 December 2022 – 23 December 2022
A solid thaw takes over, with intermittent spells of sunshine and rain showers
which accelerate the pace in which snow disappears.
24 December
2022
Customarily, Christmas Eve is gloomy, rainy and warm (i.e. with temperatures
above freezing).
25 December
2022 – 30 December 2022
Late autumn continues. Usually skies are overcast, but moment of sunshine occur
as well. Temperatures range from –1C to +11C.
31 December
2022
A big warmth comes up and the air gets balmier as midnight draws in…
December 2022 was normal. Average temperature in Warsaw was +0.6C (vs.
long-term average of –0.1C). The month had a normal first decade, a cold second
decade and a warm third decade. Stats:
- month-time high: +14.2C on 31 December 2022 (the warmest moment in December
high since 2015),
- month-time low: –14.3C on 14 December 2022,
- the warmest day 31 December 2022 (daily average of +9.3C, 0.2 Celsius degrees
short of the warmest New Year’s Eve recorded in 2021),
- the coldest day: 14
December 2022 (daily average of – 8.2C),
- number of days with snow cover: 14,
- the highest snow depth: 16 centimetres on 17 December 2022.
1 January 2023
I can only regret I spend the last days of 2022 and the first days of 2023 inWisła. Temperature in Warsaw soars to +18.9C (official readout from W-wa Okęcie
station), beating the previous January record by more than 5 Celsius degrees
and setting the new January warmth record for Poland. Clear blue skies and
abundant sunshine do help.
2 January
2023 – 3 January 2023
Slightly cooler, yet still day-time highs come into double digits, cloudy.
4 January
2023
Temperature at dawn declines well below 0C. I sense such phenomena will be a
rarity this month.
5 January
2023
Gloomy, rainy, windy, warm. Feels like November.
6 January
2023
Evening brings a snow shower. A blanket of wet white powder covers Warsaw, as
the temperature nears 0C.
7 January
2023
Those who reside in Warsaw and get up early still have a chance to see the
remnants of yesterday’s. They melt quickly…
8 January
2023 – 16 January 2023
Late autumn returns. Few moments of sunshine, some rain showers, unpleasant
wind, damp air, temperature from +1C to +9C.
17 January
2023 – 20 January 2023
Colder, temperature barely above freezing, occasionally below. A prevalent form
of precipitation is sleet. A month-long period of warmth draws to a close.
21 January
2023
A snow blizzard which begins at night seems more impressive than the one which
hit on 11 December 2022, but its disruptive potential is lower, as temperature
stays above 0C. Had it hit during the working week, a traffic paralysis would
not have been averted. It ceases to snow early in the afternoon and the melt
ensues.
22 January 2023 – 24 January 2023
Temperature barely positive most of the time, with air humidity exceeding 90%,
owing to which it feels like –10C. Cloudy, with some sleet or snow falling.
25 January
2023 – 26 January 2023
Two first days with negative mean temperature this year. Still depressingly
drab.
27 January
2023 – 28 January 2023
A tad warmer, with a light dusting of snow, which melts while falling on
warmed-up ground.
29 January
2023 – 30 January 2023
Now some proper snow, which lingers for a few hours, since temperature is close
to freezing, but eventually disappears.
31 January
2023
Finally a bright day, with two hours of proper sunshine, something the capital
of Poland missed for a fortnight.
January 2023
was extremely warm, actually the second warmest since measurements are taken, after
January 2007 (mean temperature: +3.7C), but ahead of January 1983 (mean
temperature: +3.2C). Average temperature in Warsaw was +3.4C (vs. long-term
average of –1.5C). Stats:
- month-time high: +18.9C on 1 January 2023 (the previous record, +13.8C set on
12 January 1993, broken, I believe despite the global warming it will take two
or three decades before the next January warmth record is set, I regret not
experiencing it),
- month-time low: –3.9C on 4 January 2023 breaking the record of the highest
January’s low, i.e. –4.7C set in 1983 and touched in 2020),
- the warmest day: 1 January 2023 (daily average of +15.0C, also the warmest
January day in Warsaw since records began),
- the coldest day: 29 January 2023 (daily average of –0.7C, i.e. just like in
January 2020, when the coldest day had mean temperature of –0.5C, the coldest
day was warmer than long-term average temperature for the whole month),
- number of days with snow cover: 5,
- the highest snow depth: 5 centimetres on 21 January 2023.
1 February
2023 – 2 February 2023
The last days of improper winter – still with positive temperature, rain, sleet
and some sunshine.
3 February
2023
The next winter episode begins around 3 p.m. with a proper snowfall.
Temperature gets negative.
4 February 2023 – 6 February 2023
Winter at last, all sort of weather, including light snow showers, freezing fog
and glorious sunshine, at times windy. Single-digit frost all the time.
7 February
2023 – 9 February 2023
Day-time highs bring light thaw. At least bright, most of the time sunny. Snow
nearly fully melts.
10 February
2023 – 11 February 2023
It thaws out for good, cloudy, with some instantly melting snow or sleet.
12 February
2023 – 15 February 2023
No incidences of negative temperature. At times sunny, at times rainy, usually
windy. The weather drifting between winter and spring.
16 February
2023
Morning brings temperature of –4C and picturesque hoar frost. Then it warms up
abruptly to +7C in the afternoon. Sunshine in abundance.
17 February
2023 – 19 February 2023
Exactly like at that time in 2022, a cyclone from above Scandinavia brings
destructive gusty winds (above 100 kmph) and downpours.
20 February
2023
A very light dusting of slow fallen overnight disappears quickly. Then snow
falls during the day, but melts immediately while air temperature stands at
+2C. Gusts of wind still strong.
21 February
2023 – 23 February 2023
Cloudy, but not rainy and moderately warm (with one night-time frost). Beware
though, another short winter episode is in the offing!
24 February
2023
The last warm day this month and rainy too!
25 February
2023
A day with a very changeable weather – from snow and sleet to full sunshine.
Above freezing.
26 February
2023 – 27 February 2023
A tad colder, cloudy, with a little flurry.
28 February
2023
The long-awaited sunshine comes over, at the expense of large temperature
fluctuations.
February 2023
was warm. Average temperature in Warsaw was +1.4C (vs. long-term average of –0.4C).
Stats:
- month-time high: +9.9C on 18 February 2023,
- month-time low: –8.0C on 6 February 2023 (so far no double-digit frost in
2023),
- the warmest day: 21 February 2023 (daily average of +6.6C),
- the coldest day: 6 February 2023 (daily average of –5.3C),
- number of days with snow cover: 10,
- the highest snow depth: 6 centimetres from 4 February 2023 to 6 February 2023.
1 March 2022
– 3 March 2023
While in south-western edge of Poland I enjoy full sunshine, Warsaw is under
the blanket of fog or clouds. Temperatures go through 0C two times a day.
4 March
2023 – 5 March 2023
Chilly, with alight dusting of snow and nasty wind. Negative temperature most
of the time.
6 March
2023
Some moments of glorious sunshine follow the coldest morning this year. Then it
begins to snow in near-zero temperature and snows, at time heavily until late
evening.
7 March
2023 – 8 March 2023
The same pattern - I wake up to behold a white blanket covering the capital of
Poland. It disappears by midday, melted by sunrays, as temperature tops +5C.
9 March
2023
It snowed all night, it snows nearly all day. Temperature on the verge of
freezing, so some of the snow lingers.
10 March
2023
It snowed at night, but the white powder disappeared soon, as temperature hit
double digits for the first time since early January.
11 March
2023
The weather continues to be changeable – quite warm morning with drizzle gives
way to snow showers in the afternoon.
12 March
2023
A sunny, but windy day with day-time high just below +5C. Have we seen the last
of the winter?
13 March
2023 – 14 March 2023
Markedly warmer, with double-digit highs and sunshine on the latter day.
Mid-term forecasts of the coldest March since 2018 are giving way to a prospect
of abnormal warmth in the second half of the month.
15 March
2023
Back to pre-wintry weather. Still quite windy.
16 March
2023 – 17 March 2023
Twelve hours of sunshine each day, at the expense of morning frosts and with
single-digit afternoon highs.
18 March
2023 – 21 March 2023
Rather sunny and warmer – night-time lows above 0C, day-time highs above +10C.
22 March
2023
All of a sudden – Warsaw is haunted by a night-time frost, but then temperature
skyrockets to double-digits despite overcast skies.
23 March
2023 – 26 March 2023
Cloudy, at times rainy and warm – temperature above +5C over the entire period
(on two former days nearing +20C), but winter has not said its last word.
27 March
2023
Biting chilly arctic wind makes +5C feel like –5C. Sadly, the assault of spring
was short-lasting.
28 March
2023
A day with average temperature below –1C. Five degrees below zero at dawn, snow
showers on and off during the day, with white powder lingering for an hour or
two.
29 March
2023
Another cold morning, but this time followed by a sunny, lengthy day.
30 March
2023 – 31 March 2023
Warmer for a while, yet below +15C, spells of sunshine interspersed throughout
rain showers.
March 2023 was
warm. Average temperature in Warsaw was +4.5C (vs. long-term average of +3.2C).
Stats:
-
month-time high: +20.0C on 23 March 2023 (on the same day as in 2022),
-
month-time low: –9.0C on 6 March 2023 (just like in 2022, year-to-date low is
set in March),
- the
warmest day: 24 March 2022 (daily average of +12.8C),
- the
coldest day: 6 March 2023 (daily average of –2.3C),
- number of
days with snow cover: 5,
- the highest snow depth: 3 centimetres on 9 March 2023 and 10 March 2023.
1 April 2023
The last day of early spring. Bracing for the last touch of winter.
2 April
2023 – 6 April 2023
Winter (hopefully) gives its last gasp. Temperature between –5C and +8C. Most
of the time gloomy as in November, but with some spells of sunshine. Worth
noting –5.2C low measured on 5 April 2023 was the lowest temperature in Warsaw
in April since 2003, while 5 April 2023 with average temperature of +0.1C was
the coldest April day in the capital of Poland after 1950.
I hereby terminate the winter timeline, but according to long-term forecasts, we should not expect spring in overdrive and any incidence of +20C is a long way ahead. This will likely be the third April in a row substantially colder than long-term average (+9.2C for Warsaw). The tyre change due next Saturday.
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