Sunday, 4 April 2021

Pandemic diary – weeks 54 & 55

Monday, 22 March 2021
I notice a random factor in how the virus attacks individuals. Some people have not given a damn about the virus over the last 6 months (before late September the risk was markedly lower), carried on as if there was no pandemic and the virus has not caught them, while others, despite strictly adhering to social distancing and hygiene rules, have got infected. The luck factor does matter here.

Tuesday, 23 March 2021
Over 1,400 COVID-19-related net admissions (i.e. new patients admitted less patients discharged) to hospitals in Poland. The extent to which health service is overwhelmed should a critical determinant of a potential hard lockdown.

Wednesday, 24 March 2021
After nearly 600 new deaths are reported (which is the highest number since 16 December 2020) the cumulative number of deaths from COVID-19 crosses 50,000 in Poland. Sadly, we are bound to hit 100,000 deaths, quite probably in late May 2021. I also fear we will see four-digit number of deaths, in the second half of April 2021.

Thursday, 25 March 2021
More than 34,000 new infections make bad news. More than 100,000 test carried out per day (six-digit number reached for the first time) makes good news.
New restrictions are announced, however the lockdown remains soft.
In Mazowieckie province 477 out of 491 ventilators are occupied. Time to begin to be afraid.

Friday, 26 March 2021
Poland sets another high-water mark, with over 35,000 new infections. District Szamotuły in Wielkopolskie province beats the horrible record of local hotbeds, with 1 in 306 inhabitants tested positive yesterday.

Saturday, 27 March 2021
New restrictions come into force. Can anybody explain me why Leroy Merlin, OBI and Castorama are closed, while PSB Mrówka, Bricomarche and Jula remain open? Can anybody explain why dance schools run traditional classes in poorly ventilated indoor spaces with dance partners swapped several times during each class? I am holding out for some logic!

Sunday, 28 March 2021
Mazowieckie province reports 496 out 494 available ventilators are occupied. This is a reporting glitch, but shows how tragic the situation is. There are reserves of ventilators, but kept for patients requiring other forms of treatment. I sadly bet the number of excess deaths in April 2021 will surpass morbid November 2020 when 97% more people died in comparison to the average number of deceases in previous years.

Monday, 29 March 2021
My employer sends out a note in which it “celebrates” the 1,000th case of COVID-19 in the bank whose headcount is around 10,500. It means that fellow workmates are infected more frequently than the population of Poland as a whole, but no fatalities were reported.

Tuesday, 30 March 2021
More than 30,000 hospitalisations, more than 3,000 patients aided by ventilators in breathing. How long before it all falls apart and how many people will pass away prematurely?

Wednesday, 31 March 2021
I note home office, obligatory in several countries in Western Europe is not as prevalent in Poland as it should be. Workplaces are where the virus spreads most frequently. The government appeals to employers to let their staff work from home, but it goes in vain. Moreover I see work in many places is being paralysed by clusters of virus if the entire team is down with the virus. Many managers in Poland are selfish idiots who have failed the exam in operational risk management. But much worse is that they care little about health or their staff and their families.

Thursday, 1 April 2021
I slept restlessly. Woke up at half past five, grabbed my phone, opened Twitter, learnt the registration for vaccination for younger people had been unexpectedly opened. And it was not the April Fool’s Day joke!
Rushed to the computer, signed in, found no referral, looked up in the article I was too young to be eligible for the vaccine so soon. Called several of my 40+ friends to let them know. Nearly all of them have signed up.
Hours later the registration opening has turned out to be a hoax, a mistake, whatever. All arrangements made by 40+ but not 50+ patients have been called off.
The vaccination programme is by all accounts not overseen properly and in terms of pace of administering jabs Poland is no longer among the best in the EU, but somewhere in the middle. Nevertheless I have been filled with hope to receive my first before the end of June.

Friday, 2 April 2021
All of a sudden, 13% decline in new infections week-on-week. Curious about the reasons behind the trend reversal. Imminent Easter? Reporting or IT system failures (yesterday attempts to register for vaccinations have brought the entire health care IT infrastructure to its knees)? Or have the restrictions, especially school and nursery closures, helped?

Saturday, 3 April 2021
After 13-day self-isolation, getting ready to play host to my parents. They are now 24 days after the first dose, yet the peril should not be shrugged off. Judging the number of cars parked outside, many people have decided attend family gathering, but I presume few have taken precautions like me.

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